The old Soviet Emporium is officially back.
Nothing that was not visible. Just wasn’t formally announced by its Supreme Leader Putin. Well, it is now and through the good old soviet fashion – invading a sovereign country and obliterating all its citizens’ freedoms and rights overnight using fear as menace.
Putin DNA is widely known – KGB, and he never stopped using it over the last decade to constrain to the maximum all the internal political & non-political contenders, all the regional neighbours, all the international actors…and Pussy Riot!
The strategy it’s quite straight forward. The new Soviets will occupy fully Crimea, and then establish a deadline for Ukraine troops to surrender or leave. Finally, Putin will be ready to negotiate. This is crystal clear.
On the other side the absent friends. The European Union, the US and Canada making noise, strange and serious faces on TV and within the UN Assembly. Basically, all these actors will demand that the new Soviets will depart from Crimea and Ukraine has the undertake actions are “serious and a clear violation of the International Law”. Putin, the Soviet Supreme Leader, will take 5 seconds of his time to really take into consideration the buzz generated by these set of complaining countries and keep doing whatever his doing. Why? Do you have any idea of the amount of Russian assets in London, Paris or New York? Yes…a LOT.
Economics have sterilized almost the US and EU politics in the last 2 decades. The greed on capturing the largest possible financial assets from the remains of the old Soviet leaders and the assets of the new rich and corrupt Russian actors (State and Private) to the main western markets since the fall of the Berlin Wall has been overwhelming. The key financial institutions are compromised up to their necks as we speak. The same is to say their Governments. Obama and the EU Partners can menace the Soviet Supreme Leader and so on. But, at the end of the day, business as usual will pursue.
The absent friends were never there to help Ukraine and above all, help the Ukraine’s to leave the Russian claws and built a stronger and European Ukraine. It is late and the IMF and EU cannot throw money on the problem. The right timing was 20 years ago.
Putin is the only one to fully control the events. He is the one playing core cards and almost without constrains. The western forces are quite compromised and aware of such. The Ukraine’s are alone and led as well by compromised leaders with a past and an agenda.
It is deeply sad to acknowledge such, but this is the reality.
Alexandre Krausz | email@example.com | @alexkrausz
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